Zombie Companies

A zombie company earns just enough to pay the interest on its debt but can't pay down the debt itself, often with an interest coverage ratio of 1 or less. It survives on cheap credit or support rather than healthy profits.

Some companies aren't dead, but they aren't really alive either. They keep operating, rolling over debt and paying interest, yet never generate enough to shrink what they owe. Economists call them zombies. Low interest rates let many survive; rising rates can push them over the edge. This entry explains how to identify zombies and why they matter to investors.

Category
Fundamentals and Macroeconomics
Reading time
3 min
Also called
Zombie company, Zombie firms, Zombie stocks
Updated

Zombie companies in plain words

A zombie company is an uncompetitive firm needing support to operate, or an indebted firm that can only cover interest on its debt — an interest coverage ratio of 1 or less.1

It generates only enough cash to pay interest and can't reduce the principal.1

The interest coverage ratio compares operating profit (EBIT) with interest expense.2

How to spot a zombie, step by step

  1. Check interest coverage

    Near or below 1×. See Interest Coverage Ratio.

  2. Check debt trend

    Is debt ever falling? See Debt-to-Equity Ratio.

  3. Check profitability

    Weak margins for years. See Profit Margins.

  4. Check refinancing

    Constant rollovers at rising cost.

  5. Check cash flow

    Little or negative free cash flow. See Free Cash Flow.

  6. Stress-test rates

    What if borrowing costs rise?

Worked examples

Example 1 — Coverage of 1

Zombie

EBIT $20m, interest $20m, debt $400m.

Example 1 — Coverage of 1 — calculation
Coverage$20m ÷ $20m = 1.0×
Left to repay debt$0

With coverage at 1, the company only covers interest and can't reduce principal.1

Example 2 — Rates rise

Can't cover interest

The same company refinances $400m at 7% instead of 5%.

Example 2 — Rates rise — calculation
New interest$400m × 7% = $28m
Coverage$20m ÷ $28m ≈ 0.71×

Higher rates can push zombies into losses and default. See Rate Hike and Rate Cut.

Example 3 — A healthy comparison

Healthy

Another firm: EBIT $60m, interest $10m.

Example 3 — A healthy comparison — calculation
Coverage6×

Comfortable coverage leaves room to repay debt and invest. See Interest Coverage Ratio.

Zombie vs healthy company

AspectZombieHealthy
Interest coverage≤ 1×Comfortably above 1×
Debt trendRolled over, not repaidFalling or stable
InvestmentMinimalOngoing
Rate sensitivityVery highModerate

Why investors watch zombies

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Simple warning sign to screen for.
  • Highlights rate sensitivity.
  • Useful for credit analysis.

Disadvantages

  • Some turn around.
  • Coverage can be distorted by one-offs.
  • Definitions vary between studies.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Living on credit

Beginner

Zombies can't reduce principal because their cash flow only covers interest.1

Lender risk

Intermediate

Lenders use interest coverage to judge how risky it is to lend to a company.2 See Credit Rating.

Economic drag

Advanced

Zombies tie up capital and workers that could go to more productive firms, which some economists link to slower growth. See Macroeconomics.

Common mistakes

  1. Buying because it looks cheap

    Low valuation may be deserved.

  2. Ignoring refinancing dates

    Maturity walls can trigger defaults.

  3. Using one year's data

    Look at several years.

  4. Forgetting rates

    Rising rates change everything.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1EBIT $15m, interest $18m. Interest coverage?
Q2What defines a zombie company?

Key points to remember

  1. Zombies can only service interest, not repay debt.
  2. Interest coverage of 1× or less is the usual test.
  3. Low rates help them survive.
  4. Rising rates can push them into default.
  5. Cheap valuations can be traps.

Frequently asked questions

Why do zombie companies exist?

Cheap credit and lender forbearance let them keep refinancing.

Can a zombie company recover?

Some do through restructuring or a turnaround, but many don't.

Are zombie stocks good short candidates?

Sometimes, but short squeezes and bailouts can hurt short sellers.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. Corporate Finance Institute. Zombie Company (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. Corporate Finance Institute. Interest Coverage Ratio (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.