Skewness and Kurtosis

Skewness measures how lopsided a return distribution is; kurtosis measures how heavy its tails are compared with a normal distribution. Together they show the risk of rare, extreme outcomes that standard deviation alone misses.

Two strategies can have the same average return and the same volatility yet behave completely differently: one makes small gains and occasionally crashes, the other loses small amounts and occasionally soars. Skewness and kurtosis describe that hidden shape. This entry explains both measures, what they mean for traders and why markets have "fat tails".

Category
Risk Management
Reading time
3 min
Also called
Skewness, Kurtosis, Fat tails
Updated

Skewness and kurtosis in plain words

Skewness measures the asymmetry of a distribution; a normal distribution is symmetrical and has none.1

Kurtosis measures how heavily a distribution's tails differ from those of a normal distribution — whether extreme values are common.2

Excess kurtosis is kurtosis minus 3, the kurtosis of a normal distribution.2

How to use them, step by step

  1. Collect returns

    Daily or monthly, over a long period.

  2. Check the average and spread

    Mean and standard deviation. See Standard Deviation.

  3. Measure skewness

    Positive: long right tail; negative: long left tail.

  4. Measure kurtosis

    High: more extreme outcomes than normal.

  5. Stress-test

    Assume bigger moves than a normal curve suggests. See Black Swan.

  6. Size accordingly

    Negative skew and fat tails need smaller positions. See Position Sizing.

Worked examples

Example 1 — Positive skew

Right tail

A trend strategy loses 1% on most trades but sometimes gains 15%.

Example 1 — Positive skew — calculation
Typical trade−1%
Occasional trade+15%
Mean vs medianMean above median

In a positively skewed distribution the tail is on the right and the mean is above the median.1

Example 2 — Negative skew

Left tail

An option-selling strategy earns +1% most months but loses −20% in a crash.

Example 2 — Negative skew — calculation
Typical month+1%
Crash month−20%

A long left tail is negative skew — steady small gains with rare large losses. See Naked Options.

Example 3 — Excess kurtosis

Fat tails

A return series has kurtosis of 6.

Example 3 — Excess kurtosis — calculation
Excess kurtosis6 − 3 = 3
MeaningFat tails, more extremes

Positive excess kurtosis means more extreme values than a normal distribution would produce.2

Skewness vs kurtosis

AspectSkewnessKurtosis
DescribesAsymmetryTail heaviness
Normal value03 (excess 0)
Risk signalNegative skew: crash riskHigh: frequent extremes
See alsoMean vs medianNormal Distribution

Where traders use these measures

  • Strategy evaluation

    Hidden crash risk in backtests. See Backtesting.

  • Risk models

    Adjusting value-at-risk for fat tails. See Value at Risk.

  • Options pricing

    Skew in implied volatility. See Implied Volatility.

  • Portfolio design

    Balancing positive and negative skew.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Reveal risks standard deviation hides.
  • Help compare strategy profiles.
  • Improve stress testing.

Disadvantages

  • Need lots of data to estimate.
  • Very sensitive to outliers.
  • Past shape may not repeat.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Why investors care

Beginner

Investors look at skewness because it accounts for extreme data points in a return distribution.1

Three kurtosis types

Intermediate

Distributions with excess kurtosis near zero are mesokurtic, like the normal; positive is leptokurtic (fat tails), negative platykurtic (thin tails).2

Markets are fat-tailed

Advanced

Daily stock returns typically show excess kurtosis and often negative skew, so normal-based risk models understate crash risk. See Black Swan.

Common mistakes

  1. Relying on standard deviation alone

    It ignores shape.

  2. Mixing kurtosis and excess kurtosis

    Check which one is reported.

  3. Short samples

    Rare events may not appear yet.

  4. Chasing negative-skew income

    Steady gains can hide crash risk.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1A distribution has kurtosis 4.5. What is its excess kurtosis?
Q2Small frequent gains with rare big losses describe…

Key points to remember

  1. Skewness measures asymmetry.
  2. Kurtosis measures tail heaviness.
  3. Normal distributions have zero skew and kurtosis of 3.
  4. Market returns usually have fat tails.
  5. Negative skew hides crash risk.

Frequently asked questions

Is positive skew good?

Usually preferred, since big surprises are gains, but it often means many small losses.

What does high kurtosis mean for risk?

Extreme moves happen more often than a normal curve predicts.

Do stock returns follow a normal distribution?

Not exactly; they tend to have fatter tails.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. Corporate Finance Institute. Skewness (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. Corporate Finance Institute. Kurtosis (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.