Risk-Free RateRf

The risk-free rate is the return on an investment treated as having no default risk, usually proxied by short-term government bills such as US Treasury bills. It is the baseline every riskier investment must beat and a key input in CAPM, the Sharpe ratio and valuation.

Every investment decision starts with a quiet comparison: what could I earn without taking any real risk? That baseline is the risk-free rate. If a safe Treasury bill pays 4%, a risky stock that is expected to return 5% is not very attractive. This entry explains what the risk-free rate is, how it is measured, where it appears in finance formulas and why it is never perfectly risk-free.

Category
Bonds and Interest Rates
Reading time
4 min
Also called
Risk-free rate of return, Risk-free interest rate
Updated

The risk-free rate in plain words

In practice the risk-free rate is usually taken from short-term US Treasury bills, which mature in 4 to 52 weeks and are sold at a discount or at face value.1

For a bill, the "interest" is simply the difference between the price you paid and the face value you receive at maturity.1

In the CAPM, the expected return equals the risk-free rate plus a risk premium scaled by beta.2

How the risk-free rate is used, step by step

  1. Pick a proxy

    Usually a Treasury bill yield matching your horizon. See Treasury Bills, Notes and Bonds.

  2. Match the time frame

    Short horizons use bills; long valuations use longer bonds. See Yield Curve.

  3. Set the hurdle

    Any risky asset should be expected to beat it.

  4. Measure excess return

    Return minus the risk-free rate. See Sharpe Ratio.

  5. Price risk

    Add a risk premium in CAPM. See Capital Asset Pricing Model.

  6. Discount cash flows

    It anchors the discount rate. See Discounted Cash Flow.

Worked examples

Example 1 — A Treasury bill's yield

≈ 4.1% a year

You buy a 26-week bill with a $1,000 face value for $980.

Example 1 — A Treasury bill's yield — calculation
Interest earned$1,000 − $980 = $20
Return over 26 weeks$20 ÷ $980 ≈ 2.04%
Rough annual rate≈ 2.04% × 2 ≈ 4.1%

Bills are bought below face value and repay face value at maturity; the difference is the interest.1

Example 2 — CAPM expected return

10% required

Risk-free rate 4%, expected market return 9%, stock beta 1.2.

Example 2 — CAPM expected return — calculation
Market risk premium9% − 4% = 5%
Expected return4% + 1.2 × 5% = 10%

CAPM adds the beta-weighted risk premium to the risk-free rate to get the return investors should demand.2

Example 3 — Excess return

+2 points for the risk

A strategy returns 7% while T-bills pay 5%.

Example 3 — Excess return — calculation
Excess return7% − 5% = 2 points

Only the return above the risk-free rate rewards you for taking risk. See Sharpe Ratio.

Common risk-free proxies

AspectUsed forNote
3-month T-billSharpe ratio, short horizonsMost common proxy
10-year TreasuryLong-term valuations, DCFIncludes term premium
Central bank policy rateOvernight cashSet by policy. See Central Bank
Local government billsNon-US investorsDepends on that government's credit

Where the risk-free rate appears

  • Sharpe ratio

    Excess return over the risk-free rate per unit of risk. See Sharpe Ratio.

  • CAPM and cost of equity

    The starting point of required return. See Capital Asset Pricing Model.

  • Option pricing

    An input into option models. See Option Pricing Models.

  • Cash as an alternative

    Higher safe rates make risk assets less attractive.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Gives a clear baseline for comparing investments.
  • Easy to observe from daily Treasury data.
  • Common input across finance models.

Disadvantages

  • Not truly risk-free: inflation and currency risk remain.
  • Choice of proxy changes results.
  • Changes constantly with interest rates.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Where to find it

Beginner

The US Treasury publishes daily bill rates, based on closing bid quotes for recently auctioned bills, along with daily par yield curve rates.3

Nominal vs real

Intermediate

A 4% bill yield with 3% inflation leaves about a 1% real return. Treasury also publishes real yield curve rates based on inflation-protected securities.3 See Real Yield.

Why it moves markets

Advanced

Higher safe rates raise discount rates and the hurdle for risk assets, which can pressure valuations, especially for long-duration growth stocks. See Interest Rate.

Common mistakes

  1. Mixing horizons

    Using a 3-month rate to value 30-year cash flows.

  2. Forgetting inflation

    Risk-free is not purchasing-power-free.

  3. Using a stale rate

    Rates change; update your inputs.

  4. Assuming every government is risk-free

    Some governments do default.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1Risk-free rate 3%, market return 8%, beta 0.8. What is the CAPM expected return?
Q2A $1,000 bill bought for $990 matures. How much interest do you earn?

Key points to remember

  1. The risk-free rate is the return on a default-free asset.
  2. US Treasury bills are the usual proxy.
  3. It is the hurdle every risky investment must beat.
  4. It is a key input in CAPM, Sharpe and valuation.
  5. It still carries inflation and currency risk.

Frequently asked questions

What is the current risk-free rate?

Check the latest short-term Treasury bill rate; it changes daily.

Is the risk-free rate really risk-free?

It is free of default risk in theory, but inflation, currency and reinvestment risk remain.

What rate should non-US investors use?

Usually their own government's short-term bill rate in their own currency.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. TreasuryDirect (U.S. Treasury). Treasury Bills (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. Corporate Finance Institute. Alpha (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  3. U.S. Department of the Treasury. Interest Rate Statistics (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.