Risk ManagementIntermediate

Portfolio Heat

Portfolio heat is the total amount you would lose if every open position hit its stop at once, usually as a percentage of the account. Five trades each risking 1% give 5% heat. Traders cap it to avoid large combined losses.

Portfolio heat is the total you would lose if every open trade hit its stop at the same time, shown as a percentage of the account. Five trades each risking 1% give 5% heat. Traders set a heat cap so that a bad day across many positions cannot do serious damage. Gaps and correlation can make real losses bigger.

Category
Risk Management
Reading time
3 min
Also called
Total open risk, Account heat
Updated

Portfolio heat in plain words

Each trade's risk comes from its stop distance multiplied by its position size.1

Heat adds those amounts up across every open trade, and sizing each one properly keeps the total under the limit you set.2

A stop is a plan, not a promise — slippage or gaps can make the real loss bigger.1

How to measure and cap heat

  1. Find each trade's risk

    For each trade, multiply the stop distance by the position size to get the money at risk.1

  2. Add them up

    Sum the money at risk across all open positions.

  3. Divide by equity

    Express the total as a percentage of the account.

  4. Set a cap

    Set a maximum heat in your plan and size new trades so the total stays below it.2

  5. Group related trades

    Watch for clusters — lots of risk in one investment, asset class or sector can magnify losses.3

  6. Recheck as stops move

    Remember risk scales directly with size: double the lots, double the risk.2

Worked examples

Example 1 — Five 1% trades

5% heat

A hypothetical account of 50,000 has five trades each risking 500 to its stop.

Example 1 — Five 1% trades — calculation
Total5 × 500 = 2,500
Heat2,500 ÷ 50,000 = 5%

Each 500 comes from stop distance times size, and together they make 5% heat.1

Example 2 — Trailing stops cut heat

3% heat

Two hypothetical trades move their stops to break-even, so only three still risk 500.

Example 2 — Trailing stops cut heat — calculation
Heat1,500 ÷ 50,000 = 3%

Tightening the stops shrank each trade's risk and lowered total heat.1

Example 3 — Gap beyond stops

−1,800

Overnight, hypothetical prices gap past two stops and those two trades lose 900 each instead of 500.

Example 3 — Gap beyond stops — calculation
Planned1,000
Actual1,800

Slippage and gaps can push the real loss above plan, so treat heat as a minimum, not a maximum.1

Risk per trade vs portfolio heat

AspectRisk per tradePortfolio heat
ScopeOne positionAll open positions
Typical sizeSmall %Sum of trades
ControlsSingle lossCombined loss
Changes whenStop or size movesAny trade opens or closes

Where traders use it

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • One number for total open risk.
  • Easy to compute from stops.
  • Stops many small risks adding up unnoticed.
  • Fits any market.

Disadvantages

  • Assumes stops fill at their price.
  • Ignores correlation unless adjusted.
  • Positions without stops break it.
  • A cap can limit good opportunities.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Building block

Beginner

Per-trade risk is stop distance times position size; heat is the sum across trades.1

Correlation

Intermediate

Large exposure to one investment, asset class or sector magnifies losses, so related trades should be counted as one bigger bet.3

Gaps

Advanced

Heat measures planned risk only; real losses can be larger after slippage or gaps.1

Common mistakes

  1. Counting only new trades

    Include every open position.

  2. Ignoring correlation

    Group related trades.

  3. No cap

    Set a limit before trading.

  4. Forgetting gaps

    Leave a buffer.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1Four trades each risk 1.5%. Heat?
Q2Why can real losses exceed heat?

Key points to remember

  1. Heat is total risk if all stops hit.
  2. Add each trade's stop risk.
  3. Express it as % of equity.
  4. Cap it in your plan.
  5. Correlation and gaps make real risk higher.

Frequently asked questions

What is a common heat cap?

Many traders pick a single-digit percentage; choose your own.

Do break-even stops count?

They add about zero risk.

Is heat the same as drawdown?

No, heat is open risk; drawdown is a realised fall.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. CMC Markets. What is a stop loss? Explained simply (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. CMC Markets. Lot Size in Forex: Complete Guide to Position Sizing (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  3. FINRA. Concentrate on Concentration Risk (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.