Negative Electricity Price

A negative electricity price means generators pay to deliver power. It happens when supply from inflexible or subsidised sources, such as wind and solar on a sunny, windy day, exceeds demand and shutting down is more costly than paying buyers.

Sometimes generators pay to get rid of electricity. It sounds absurd until you add up what it costs to shut a plant down or give up a subsidy.

Category
Commodities, Energy and Carbon
Reading time
3 min
Also called
Negative power price, Sub-zero power price, Negative LMP
Updated

Negative prices in plain words

Some generators, such as nuclear, hydro and wind, cannot or prefer not to cut output when demand is too low to absorb it.1

They may sell at a loss to avoid shutdown and restart costs.1

Wind generators earning a production tax credit may sell at negative prices to keep producing.2

How a negative price forms

  1. High inflexible supply

    Wind, solar, nuclear or hydro output is high.

  2. Low demand

    Demand cannot absorb it.1

  3. Cost of stopping

    Plants with high shut-down or restart costs compete to keep running.3

  4. Subsidy incentive

    A credit like $22/MWh makes selling below zero still worthwhile.2

  5. Price clears below zero

    Bids fall below zero so generators pay to deliver.

  6. Short-lived

    Such conditions usually last only short periods.2

Worked examples

Example 1 — Subsidised wind

+$1,200

Hypothetical price −$10/MWh, credit $22/MWh, output 100 MWh.

Example 1 — Subsidised wind — calculation
Market payment100 × −$10 = −$1,000
Credit100 × $22 = $2,200
Net−$1,000 + $2,200 = $1,200

The credit explains why wind may keep selling at negative prices.2

Example 2 — Avoiding restart

Run: $2,000 cheaper

Price −$5/MWh for 4 hours at 200 MW; a restart costs $6,000.

Example 2 — Avoiding restart — calculation
Cost of running200 × 4 × $5 = $4,000
Cost of stopping$6,000
Saving by running$6,000 − $4,000 = $2,000

Selling at a loss can avoid shutdown and restart costs.1

Example 3 — Consumer side

Paid $150

A hypothetical flexible load uses 10 MWh at −$15/MWh.

Example 3 — Consumer side — calculation
Payment received10 × $15 = $150

Negative prices are more frequent where wind and solar are high, creating chances for flexible demand.4

Negative vs very low positive prices

AspectNegative priceLow positive price
Who paysGenerator pays buyerBuyer pays generator
Typical causeInflexible supply and subsidiesAmple cheap supply
DurationUsually shortCan last longer
OpportunityStorage and flexible load get paidCheap charging

Why traders care

  • Storage

    Charging when paid to.

  • Flexible industry

    Shifting demand into negative hours.

  • Renewable revenues

    Modelling lost value during negatives.

  • Spread trading

    Pricing peak/off-peak Volatility.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Signals oversupply clearly.
  • Rewards flexible demand and storage.
  • Encourages better grid planning.

Disadvantages

  • Erodes renewable revenues.
  • Hard to forecast by location.
  • Can reflect transmission limits.
  • Subsidy design can distort bids.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Too much supply

Beginner

Inflexible generators keep running when demand is low.1

Costs and credits

Intermediate

High shut-down costs and production credits push bids below zero.3

Location

Advanced

Negative events vary widely by location and year, and in RTOs show up in LMPs.2

Common mistakes

  1. Thinking it's an error

    It's a real market outcome.

  2. Retail confusion

    Assuming households always benefit.

  3. Ignoring location

    Treating negatives as system-wide.

  4. Overestimating duration

    They're usually brief.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1Price −$8/MWh, credit $20/MWh. Net per MWh?
Q2Who pays when prices are negative?

Key points to remember

  1. Negative prices mean generators pay to deliver.
  2. Inflexible supply and low demand cause them.
  3. Subsidies and restart costs keep bids below zero.
  4. They're usually short and local.
  5. Storage and flexible load can profit.

Frequently asked questions

Do I get paid at home?

Only on tariffs passing wholesale prices through; most fixed tariffs don't.

Are negative prices becoming more common?

In areas with lots of wind and solar, often yes.

Can futures be negative?

Power futures can settle at very low or negative averages, depending on contract rules.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Negative prices in wholesale electricity markets indicate supply inflexibilities (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Negative wholesale electricity prices occur in RTOs (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  3. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Rising solar generation in California coincides with negative wholesale electricity prices (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  4. U.S. Department of Energy. Wind Is Changing Pricing Patterns in Wholesale Power Markets (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.