Price ActionIntermediate

Head and ShouldersH&S

Head and shoulders is a reversal pattern of three peaks with the middle one highest; the inverse version, with three troughs, can mark the end of a downtrend.

Head and shoulders is the best-known reversal pattern in technical analysis. After an uptrend, the price makes a peak (the left shoulder), a higher peak (the head) and a lower peak (the right shoulder).1 The lows between them form the neckline. When the price closes below the neckline, the pattern is complete and suggests the uptrend has ended. The inverse version marks bottoms. This entry shows how to identify the pattern, where traders enter, and how the common target is calculated.

Category
Price Action
Reading time
5 min
Also called
Inverse head and shoulders, Neckline, Head and shoulders top
Updated

Head and shoulders in plain words

Buyers push to a high, then a higher high — but the third push fails to reach the head. That failure is a lower high, the first sign that buying is running out. See Reversal.

The neckline connects the two lows on either side of the head. Breaking below it means the price has also made a lower low — the uptrend’s structure is broken. See Trend.

How to trade head and shoulders, step by step

  1. Confirm there was an uptrend

    A top pattern needs something to reverse.

  2. Identify the three peaks

    The head must be clearly higher than both shoulders; the shoulders roughly similar.

  3. Draw the neckline

    Connect the lows between the shoulders and the head; it can slope slightly.

  4. Wait for a close below the neckline

    Until then, the pattern is incomplete and the uptrend may resume.

  5. Calculate the target

    Measure from the head to the neckline and project that distance down from the break.

  6. Place the stop

    Above the right shoulder, or above the neckline for a retest entry. See Stop Loss.

Worked examples

Example 1 — Measuring the target

Target

Left shoulder $55, head $62, right shoulder $56, neckline $50.50.

Example 1 — Measuring the target — calculation
Head to neckline$62 − $50.50 = $11.50
Target$50.50 − $11.50 = $39.00

The measured move is a rule of thumb for where the decline might reach, not a guarantee. See Take Profit.

Example 2 — A short on the break

Break entry

The price closes at $49.50, below the neckline. A trader shorts at $49.50, stop $56.50 above the right shoulder, target $39.

Example 2 — A short on the break — calculation
Risk$7.00
Reward$10.50
Reward-to-risk1.5 : 1

Stops above the right shoulder are safe but wide. Some traders wait for a retest of the neckline from below for a tighter stop.

Example 3 — A failed pattern

Failure

A stock forms what looks like a head and shoulders, dips 20 cents below the neckline intraday, then closes back above it and rallies to a new high.

Example 3 — A failed pattern — calculation
Close below neckline?No — only an intraday poke
Result for early shortsStopped out as the uptrend resumed

Waiting for a close below the neckline filters out many failures. A failed top can itself become a bullish signal.

Figure 1

Head and shoulders top

A head and shoulders top with its neckline and targetThe price makes a left shoulder at $55, a higher head at $62 and a lower right shoulder at $56. The lows between them, near $50.50, form the neckline. A close below the neckline completes the pattern; the head’s height above the neckline, $11.50, projected down from the neckline gives a target near $39.neckline $50.50target ≈ $39left shoulderheadright shoulderneckline breakheight $11.50
Three peaks with the middle one highest. A close below the neckline completes the pattern; the head’s height projected down gives the common target.

Head and shoulders top vs. inverse

AspectTopInverse (bottom)
Appears afterAn uptrendA downtrend
ShapeThree peaks, middle highestThree troughs, middle lowest
ConfirmationClose below the necklineClose above the neckline
TargetNeckline − head heightNeckline + head depth

How traders use the pattern

  • Exiting longs

    A completed pattern is a reason to close or tighten long positions.

  • Short entries

    On the neckline break or a retest. See Short Selling.

  • Bottom entries

    The inverse pattern marks possible ends of downtrends.2

  • Targets

    The measured move gives a first target.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Clear structure: lower high plus broken neckline.
  • Built-in stop and target levels.
  • Widely recognised, so many traders watch the same levels.

Disadvantages

  • Often recognised only late, after much of the move.
  • Subjective: what counts as a shoulder varies.
  • Many patterns fail or never complete.
  • Stops above the right shoulder can be wide.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

No neckline break, no pattern

Beginner

Until the neckline breaks on a closing basis, you have three peaks — not a completed head and shoulders.

Volume

Intermediate

In the classic pattern, volume is often lighter on the right shoulder than on the head, and rises on the neckline break. See Volume.

Sloping necklines and retests

Advanced

A downward-sloping neckline on a top is generally considered weaker for buyers (more bearish). After a break, prices often retest the neckline from the other side, where old support acts as resistance. See Support and Resistance.

Common mistakes

  1. Shorting before the break

    Anticipating the pattern catches many false tops.

  2. Seeing patterns everywhere

    Insist on a prior trend and a clearly higher head.

  3. Ignoring the target distance

    If the nearest support is closer than the target, reward-to-risk may not justify the trade.

  4. Stops too tight

    A stop just above the neckline is often hit on the retest.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1Head $80, neckline $72. What is the measured-move target after a break?
Q2What completes a head and shoulders top?

Key points to remember

  1. Three peaks with the middle one highest, after an uptrend.
  2. The neckline joins the lows between the peaks.
  3. A close below the neckline completes the pattern.
  4. Target: head-to-neckline distance projected from the break.
  5. The inverse pattern marks possible bottoms.

Frequently asked questions

Is head and shoulders bullish or bearish?

The standard pattern is bearish (a top); the inverse head and shoulders is bullish (a bottom).

How reliable is head and shoulders?

No pattern is reliable on its own. It works best after a clear trend, with a decisive neckline break and supporting volume.

What if the price comes back above the neckline?

The pattern has failed. Short positions should be closed; a failed top can lead to a strong rally.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. StockCharts ChartSchool. Head and Shoulders Top (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. StockCharts ChartSchool. Head and Shoulders Bottom (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Read more elsewhere

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