Crack Spread

A crack spread is the difference between the price of refined products, such as gasoline and diesel, and the crude oil used to make them. It approximates a refiner’s margin; a common version is the 3-2-1 spread (three barrels of crude into two of gasoline and one of distillate).

Refiners don't really bet on oil prices; they bet on the gap between crude and the fuels they make from it. That gap, the crack spread, is the number refiners and energy traders watch.

Category
Commodities, Energy and Carbon
Reading time
3 min
Also called
Refining margin, 3-2-1 crack, Refinery spread
Updated

The crack spread in plain words

The crack spread is the gap between what a refiner pays for crude oil and what it gets for the products it makes, such as gasoline and diesel.1

It indicates refiners' short-term margin, though it excludes other variable and fixed costs.1

The 3:2:1 version subtracts three barrels of crude from two of gasoline and one of distillate.2

How to calculate a 3-2-1 crack spread

  1. Get crude price

    Take the crude benchmark in $/barrel.

  2. Get product prices

    Take gasoline and diesel spot or futures prices.

  3. Convert units

    Products are quoted per gallon, so multiply by 42 to get $/barrel.1

  4. Weight the barrels

    Use 2 gasoline + 1 distillate − 3 crude.2

  5. Divide by 3

    Express the result per barrel of crude.

  6. Hedge if needed

    A refiner can lock it in by buying three crude futures and selling two gasoline and one heating oil.3

Worked examples

Example 1 — Basic 3-2-1

$30/bbl crack

Hypothetical crude $75/bbl, gasoline $2.40/gal, diesel $2.70/gal.

Example 1 — Basic 3-2-1 — calculation
Gasoline per barrel$2.40 × 42 = $100.80
Diesel per barrel$2.70 × 42 = $113.40
Products2 × $100.80 + $113.40 = $315.00
Crude3 × $75 = $225
Spread per bbl($315 − $225) ÷ 3 = $30

This $30 is a short-term margin indicator, before other variable and fixed costs.1

Example 2 — Weak demand

Crack −$8.40

Gasoline falls to $2.10/gal, others unchanged.

Example 2 — Weak demand — calculation
Gasoline per barrel$2.10 × 42 = $88.20
Products2 × $88.20 + $113.40 = $289.80
Spread per bbl($289.80 − $225) ÷ 3 = $21.60

EIA links declining margins to weak product demand even as capacity grows.2

Example 3 — A 5-3-2 version

$30.84/bbl

Using Example 1 prices with a 5:3:2 ratio.

Example 3 — A 5-3-2 version — calculation
Products3 × $100.80 + 2 × $113.40 = $529.20
Crude5 × $75 = $375
Spread per bbl($529.20 − $375) ÷ 5 = $30.84

The 5:3:2 ratio assumes five crude barrels make three of gasoline and two of distillate.4

3-2-1 vs 5-3-2 crack

Aspect3-2-15-3-2
Crude barrels35
Gasoline : distillate2 : 13 : 2
FitsGasoline-heavy refineriesMore distillate output
Diesel weightLowerHigher

Who uses crack spreads

  • Refiners

    Hedging margins with futures.

  • Analysts

    Gauging refinery profitability.

  • Traders

    Taking views on product vs crude.

  • Supply watchers

    Signals to raise output.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Simple proxy for refinery margins.
  • Hedgeable with liquid futures.
  • Signals supply incentives.
  • Comparable across regions.

Disadvantages

  • Ignores operating and fixed costs.
  • Real yields differ from the ratio.
  • Regional crude and product prices vary.
  • Spreads can swing violently in outages.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Products minus crude

Beginner

It is the gap between what crude costs and what products sell for.1

Ratios

Intermediate

The 3:2:1 is the common ratio; 5:3:2 weights distillate more.4

Signals and hedges

Advanced

Higher spreads signal refiners to raise output, and refiners can lock in margins with futures.3

Common mistakes

  1. Mixing units

    Forgetting the 42-gallon conversion.

  2. Wrong ratio

    Using 3-2-1 for a diesel-heavy plant.

  3. Calling it profit

    Ignoring costs beyond crude.

  4. Mismatched benchmarks

    Pairing crude and products from different regions.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1Gasoline $2.50/gal equals how much per barrel?
Q2To hedge a 3-2-1 crack, a refiner typically…

Key points to remember

  1. The crack spread is products minus crude.
  2. 3-2-1 is the common ratio.
  3. Convert $/gal to $/bbl with ×42.
  4. It proxies margins but excludes other costs.
  5. Refiners hedge it with futures.

Frequently asked questions

Why is it called a crack?

Refining breaks, or cracks, crude into lighter products.

Can a crack spread be negative?

Yes, rarely, when product demand collapses.

Is it a refiner's actual profit?

No; it leaves out other variable and fixed costs.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. U.S. Energy Information Administration. 3:2:1 Crack Spread (explainer) (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Global refinery margins fall to multiyear seasonal lows in September (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  3. CFTC. Speech by Commissioner Sharon Brown-Hruska: The Role of Futures Markets in the Energy Sector (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  4. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Energy Indicators (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.