Bear Market

A bear market is a sustained period of falling prices, commonly defined for stock indices as a decline of 20% or more from a recent high.

A bear market is the opposite of a bull market: a long decline with pessimistic sentiment.1 Bear markets are where many traders lose the gains of the previous years — not only because prices fall, but because sharp rallies inside a decline tempt people to buy too early, and volatility punishes positions that are too large. This entry explains the common definition, how bear markets differ from corrections, and how to protect an account in one.

Category
Trading Basics
Reading time
5 min
Also called
Bearish market, Bear phase, Bear market rally
Updated

A bear market in plain words

A bear market is a time when stock prices are declining and sentiment is pessimistic. Generally, it is said to occur when a broad market index falls by 20% or more over at least a two-month period.2

The name is usually linked to how a bear swipes its paws downward, though the phrase’s exact origin is uncertain. The opposite is a bull market.

How to identify a bear market, step by step

  1. Pick a broad index

    As with bull markets, the label applies to a broad market rather than a single stock.

  2. Find the most recent high

    Measure from the highest close before the decline.

  3. Measure the fall

    A decline of 20% or more from that high, over at least two months, is the usual threshold.2

  4. Check the structure

    Lower highs and lower lows on weekly charts show a downtrend, not a brief shake-out. See Trend.

  5. Expect sharp rallies

    Bear markets often contain fast, large rallies that fail. Treat them with suspicion until the structure changes.

  6. Adjust risk

    Volatility usually rises in bear markets; smaller positions keep the money at risk the same. See Volatility.

Worked examples

Example 1 — Applying the 20% rule

Bear

An index peaks at 4,800, then falls over four months to 3,700.

Example 1 — Applying the 20% rule — calculation
Fall from the high(4,800 − 3,700) ÷ 4,800 ≈ 22.9%
PeriodFour months (more than two)
Bear market threshold4,800 × 0.8 = 3,840

By the common definition, the index entered a bear market when it closed below 3,840.

Example 2 — A bear-market rally

Rally trap

From 3,700 the index jumps 12% to 4,144 in three weeks, then falls to new lows at 3,500.

Example 2 — A bear-market rally — calculation
Rally+12% — feels like the bottom
Buyer at 4,100Then −14.6% to 3,500
LessonSharp rallies are common inside bear markets

Big rallies without a change in trend structure are a classic trap. Waiting for higher lows costs some upside but avoids many false starts.

Example 3 — The recovery maths

Recovery

An investor’s portfolio follows the index from 4,800 down to 3,500.

Example 3 — The recovery maths — calculation
Decline≈ −27.1%
Gain needed to recover4,800 ÷ 3,500 − 1 ≈ +37.1%

Losses need larger gains to recover, which is why limiting damage in a bear market matters so much. See Drawdown.

Figure 1

A bull market, then a bear market

A bull market followed by a bear marketAn index falls to a low of 97, then rises. When it reaches 116.4, 20% above the low, it meets the common definition of a bull market. It peaks at 130 and then falls; at 104, 20% below the peak, it meets the common definition of a bear market.+20% from the low · 116.4−20% from the high · 104low 97peak 130BULL MARKETBEAR MARKETtime →
After a peak at 130, the index falls 20% to 104 — the common definition of a bear market — and continues lower.

Pullback, correction and bear market

AspectTypical sizeUsual meaning
PullbackUnder about 10%Normal fluctuation within a trend
CorrectionAbout 10–20%A sharper decline, often within a bull market
Bear market20% or more over at least two months2A sustained decline with pessimistic sentiment2

Trading and investing in bear markets

  • Protecting capital

    Smaller positions, firm stops and lower leverage limit drawdowns. See Position Sizing.

  • Short selling

    Some traders profit from declines, but bear-market rallies make shorts dangerous too. See Short Selling and Short Squeeze.

  • Hedging

    Investors may reduce exposure or hedge rather than sell everything. See Hedging.

  • Long-term buying

    Long-term investors sometimes add gradually during declines, accepting they will not buy the exact bottom. See Dollar-Cost Averaging.

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Prices of quality assets can become cheaper for long-term buyers.
  • Short sellers and hedgers can profit from falling prices.
  • Excesses of the previous bull market are cleared out.

Disadvantages

  • Losses compound quickly, and recovery needs larger gains.
  • Volatility and fear lead to poor decisions.
  • Sharp rallies trap early buyers and squeeze short sellers.
  • Liquidity can thin out, widening spreads and slippage.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

Do not try to catch the exact bottom

Beginner

Bottoms are only obvious afterwards. Buying in stages, or waiting for the trend structure to improve, reduces the risk of buying far too early.

Bear markets and recessions

Intermediate

Bear markets often accompany economic recessions, but not always: stock markets can fall 20% without a recession, and they often start recovering before a recession ends. See Recession.

Correlations rise in sell-offs

Advanced

In sharp declines, many assets that usually move independently fall together as investors reduce risk across the board. Diversification still helps, but less than calm-period correlations suggest. See Correlation and Risk-On and Risk-Off.

Common mistakes

  1. Buying every big rally

    Rallies of 10% or more inside bear markets are common; wait for structure to improve.

  2. Averaging down without limits

    Adding to losers repeatedly can turn a decline into a disaster. See Averaging Down and Averaging Up.

  3. Keeping normal position sizes

    Higher volatility means the same size carries more risk.

  4. Panic selling at the low

    Decide your plan before the decline, not during the worst week.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1An index peaks at 15,000. Below what level does it enter a bear market by the common definition?
Q2An index falls 14% from its high and then recovers. What was it?

Key points to remember

  1. A bear market is a sustained decline with pessimistic sentiment.
  2. Common definition: a broad index down 20% or more from a high over at least two months.
  3. Sharp rallies inside bear markets often fail.
  4. Volatility rises — reduce size to keep risk constant.
  5. Losses need larger gains to recover, so limiting damage matters most.

Frequently asked questions

How long do bear markets last?

They vary widely, from a few months to several years. There is no reliable way to predict the length of a particular bear market.

What is the difference between a correction and a bear market?

A correction is usually a decline of around 10–20%; a bear market is commonly defined as a fall of 20% or more from a high over at least two months.

Should I sell everything in a bear market?

That depends on your goals and time horizon, and this site does not give personal advice. Many traders reduce position size and use stops rather than making all-or-nothing decisions.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. IG. Bear market definition (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. Investor.gov (SEC). Bear Market (glossary) (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Read more elsewhere

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.