Analyst RatingPT

An analyst rating is a research analyst's recommendation on a security, such as buy, hold or sell, often with a price target.

An analyst rating is a research analyst's view on a stock — usually buy, hold or sell — often paired with a price target for the next year. Ratings can move prices, but they are opinions shaped by assumptions and, sometimes, conflicts of interest.

Category
Fundamentals and Macroeconomics
Reading time
4 min
Also called
Analyst recommendation, Stock rating, Buy/hold/sell rating
Updated

Analyst ratings in plain words

Firms use different words for their ratings, and the same word can mean different things at different firms.1

In the US, each rating or price target must rest on a reasonable basis, explain the valuation method and lay out the main risks to the call.2

Ratings can move a stock noticeably, especially when a well-followed analyst changes view.3

How to read an analyst rating

  1. Find the rating scale

    Each research report must spell out what every rating means, including the time horizon and any benchmark it is measured against.2

  2. Read the definitions

    Don't guess what “outperform” or “hold” means — read the firm's own definitions in the report.1

  3. Check the distribution

    Look at the rating mix: reports show what share of the firm's coverage is rated buy, hold and sell.2

  4. Look at the price target

    Compare the target with today's price to see the implied move.

  5. Check for conflicts

    Check for conflicts: the analyst's firm may underwrite or hold shares of the company being rated.1

  6. Do your own work

    Use the rating as one input among many, never as the only reason to buy, hold or sell.1

Worked examples

Example 1 — Implied upside

+20% implied

A hypothetical stock trades at $50; an analyst rates it buy with a $60 target.

Example 1 — Implied upside — calculation
Price$50
Target$60
Implied upside20%

A price target depends entirely on its assumptions, which is why reports must explain the valuation method and the risks to it.2

Example 2 — Downgrade

−$4

A hypothetical analyst cuts a stock from buy to hold and the target from $60 to $52; the stock drops from $55 to $51.

Example 2 — Downgrade — calculation
Old target$60
New target$52
Price move−$4

The jump shows how much a single rating change can move a share price.3

Example 3 — Mostly buys

Buy is common here

A hypothetical firm rates 70% of its stocks buy, 25% hold and 5% sell.

Example 3 — Mostly buys — calculation
Buy70%
Hold25%
Sell5%

If most of a firm's coverage is rated buy, one more buy rating tells you less than it seems.2

Rating vs price target

AspectRatingPrice target
FormWord (buy, hold, sell)Price number
Tells youDirection of viewSize of expected move
Time frameDefined by the firmOften 12 months
Main riskVague or inflated labelsOptimistic assumptions

How investors use ratings

Advantages and disadvantages

Advantages

  • Summarises detailed research quickly.
  • Price targets give a measurable view.
  • Disclosure rules show conflicts and rating mix.
  • Changes can flag new information.

Disadvantages

  • Ratings mean different things at different firms.
  • Buy ratings are often far more common than sells.
  • Conflicts of interest can bias views.
  • Targets are frequently missed.

Going deeper

Read as far as you need. Each level builds on the one before it.

What a rating is

Beginner

A rating is an opinion, not a promise, and it should never be the only basis for a trading decision.1

Conflicts of interest

Intermediate

Conflicts are real: the analyst's employer may underwrite or own the shares it covers.1 Disclosures in each report help you judge that risk.

Tracking record

Advanced

US reports must include a price chart marking when the firm started coverage and changed ratings or targets, so you can check its track record.1 Rules differ by country.

Common mistakes

  1. Taking labels at face value

    "Outperform" at one firm may equal "buy" at another.

  2. Ignoring the time horizon

    A 12-month target says little about next week.

  3. Following the crowd

    Consensus ratings can lag the price Trend.

  4. Skipping disclosures

    Conflicts are listed in the report.

Check your understanding

Test yourself before moving on. Each answer comes with an explanation.

Q1A stock is $80 and the target is $100. What is the implied upside?
Q2Why read each firm's rating definitions?

Key points to remember

  1. An analyst rating is an opinion such as buy, hold or sell.
  2. Price targets show the expected move.
  3. Rating meanings differ between firms.
  4. Check conflicts and the rating mix.
  5. Do your own research before acting.

Frequently asked questions

What does 'hold' really mean?

It depends on the firm. Read its definitions; sometimes hold is a polite sell.

How accurate are price targets?

Often not very. Use them as one input, not a forecast.

Are analysts independent?

Not always. Reports must disclose conflicts such as investment banking ties.

Further learning

Sources

This article is written in our own words. The sources below support the specific facts, rules and figures marked with a number in the text. Links open the original publisher’s page.

  1. SEC. Analyzing Analyst Recommendations (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  2. FINRA. Rule 2241. Research Analysts and Research Reports (opens in a new tab) Checked .
  3. Investor.gov (SEC). Securities Analyst Recommendations (opens in a new tab) Checked .

Educational content, not financial advice. Examples use hypothetical prices and simplified costs; actual fees, margin rules and regulations vary by broker, market and country. We are not affiliated with any publisher linked above. Last reviewed . Report an error or request a source credit.